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Physiological Genomics

American Physiological Society

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Physiological Genomics's content profile, based on 15 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.01% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Genome-Wide DNA Methylation Profiling in Critically Ill Patients with Sepsis: A Pooled Epigenome-Wide Association Study Using the Infinium Methylation EPIC v2.0 Array

Bonavia, A. S.; Janicki, P.

2026-06-01 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354469 medRxiv
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Objective: To characterize genome-wide DNA methylation patterns associated with sepsis using the Infinium Methylation EPIC v2.0 platform and to evaluate the feasibility of pooled methylation profiling in a pilot critical care cohort. Design: Single-center pilot epigenome-wide association study using pooled whole-blood genomic DNA and pool-level bioinformatic analysis. Setting: Academic medical center. Patients: Fifty critically ill adults enrolled within 48 hours of illness onset and 20 healthy controls. Interventions: None. Measurements and Main Results: Critically ill patients required mechanical ventilation and/or vasopressor support. Sepsis was defined according to Sepsis-3 criteria. Seventy individual samples were organized into 14 intended pools of 5 individuals each: 7 sepsis pools, 3 critically ill non-septic pools, and 4 healthy-control pools. One critically ill non-septic pool was excluded because of poor DNA quality, yielding 13 analyzable pools. For the primary pooled comparison, 7 sepsis pools were compared with 6 non-sepsis comparator pools comprising 2 critically ill non-septic and 4 healthy-control pools. After quality control and preprocessing with SeSAMe, 876,094 CpG sites were retained. The initial pool-level screen identified 170,897 candidate differentially methylated regions. Application of stringent secondary filters (false discovery rate <= 1%, absolute delta-beta >= 7.5%, and >= 5 CpGs per region) yielded a high-confidence subset with marked directional skewing, including 155 hypomethylated and 32 hypermethylated regions in sepsis. Differentially methylated region-associated genes were enriched in myeloid leukocyte activation, myeloid leukocyte-mediated immunity, defense response to bacterium, neutrophil granule biology, and hematopoietic cell lineage pathways. Additional signals involved microRNA-associated targets, ribosome biogenesis, RNA processing, long noncoding RNAs, and previously uncharacterized loci. Conclusions: In this pilot pooled EPIC v2.0 study, sepsis was associated with a biologically coherent, predominantly hypomethylated methylation signature enriched in myeloid and host-defense pathways. These findings support the feasibility of pooled methylation profiling for discovery-oriented sepsis biobank studies but should be interpreted as hypothesis-generating given the pool-level design, limited effective sample size, heterogeneous comparator group, and lack of direct validation against individual-level methylation profiles.

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Peri Operative deLta rEnin ConcentrATion (POLECAT) Study Protocol and Analysis Plan

Boyer, N.; Haider, S.; Piercy, C.; Zarbock, A.; Samuels, T. L.; Papadopoulou, A.; Forni, L. G.; Creagh Brown, B.

2026-05-27 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.05.26.26352884 medRxiv
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Background: Post-operative hypotension and vasoplegia are well recognised following cardiac surgery but remain poorly characterised after major non-cardiac surgery, despite associations with acute kidney injury (AKI), cardiovascular complications, and increased mortality. Dysregulation of the renin angiotensin aldosterone system (RAAS) may underpin haemodynamic instability in this setting, yet data in abdominal surgery are limited. Objectives: The POLECAT (Perioperative delta Renin) study aims to determine whether changes in circulating renin concentration (delta renin) from pre-operative baseline to the early post-operative period are associated with post-operative vasoplegia in patients undergoing major abdominal surgery requiring intensive care admission. Methods: POLECAT is a single-centre, prospective observational study conducted at a UK tertiary referral hospital. Adult patients undergoing planned or emergency abdominopelvic surgery with anticipated intensive care admission are enrolled. Blood samples are obtained pre-operatively, within four hours post-operatively, and on post-operative day one to measure renin and a panel of endothelial, renal, and immune biomarkers. The primary outcome is post-operative vasoplegia, defined as the requirement for a vasopressor infusion at 08:00 on post-operative day one. Secondary outcomes include alternative vasoplegia definitions, AKI (KDIGO criteria), vasopressor burden, organ dysfunction, cardiovascular complications, length of stay, and mortality. Multivariable regression, receiver operating characteristic analyses, and predefined subgroup analyses will be performed, with sensitivity analyses addressing missing data. Conclusions: This study will clarify the relationship between peri-operative RAAS dysfunction and vasoplegia following major abdominal surgery. Findings may support biomarker-guided risk stratification and inform future interventional trials targeting haemodynamic instability in this high-risk population.

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Ruling In and Ruling Out Sepsis Using Likelihood Ratios of a Host Response Assay

Navalkar, K. A.; Wani, P.; Davis, R. F.; Cermelli, S.; Dietrich, M.; von der Forst, M.; Becker, S. L.; Benthien, S.; Baumann, E.; Zeiner, C.; Lepper, P. M.; Garnacho-Montero, J.; Canton-Bulnes, M. L.; Fernandez-Galilea, A.; Luis Garcia-Garmendia, J. L.; Estella, A.; Miller, R. R.; Schultz, M. J.; Rothman, R.; Burke, J.; Patel, G.; Parada, J.; Yager, T. D.; Brandon, R. B.

2026-06-01 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354374 medRxiv
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Overview: SeptiCyte RAPID is an FDA-cleared gene expression test that quantifies host immune response to aid in the diagnosis of sepsis. The test yields a score (the SeptiScore) ranging from 0-15, distributed across four bands (1-4) based on increased likelihood of sepsis. Each band can be characterized by average positive and negative likelihood ratios (LR+, LR- respectively) for the discrimination of sepsis versus the non-infectious systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS). Methods: A retrospective analysis of prospectively collected data from a combined cohort of critically ill patients suspected of sepsis (N=889), recruited across 19 hospitals in the USA and Europe. The analysis quantified the LR+ and LR- parameters as a function of SeptiScore, for discrimination of sepsis vs. SIRS in patients admitted to ICU. Hypotheses: (1) The likelihood ratio (LR) framework provides a clinically useful interpretive approach that complements the previously used SeptiScore banding scheme; (2) Low Band 1 SeptiScores are associated with sufficiently small LR- to support the use of SeptiCyte RAPID as a rule-out test for sepsis; (3) High Band 4 SeptiScores are associated with sufficiently large LR+ to support the use of SeptiCyte RAPID as a rule-in test for sepsis; and (4) SeptiScore-derived LR+ and LR- values can be combined with estimates of pre-test probability (derived from patient characteristics and/or other diagnostic tests) to generate individualized, patient-specific post-test probabilities of sepsis. Results: The SeptiCyte RAPID test demonstrates strong diagnostic performance in distinguishing sepsis from SIRS. The likelihood ratios across different score bands provide clear clinical utility: the median LR+ was 3.26 (range 2.57-4.24) for Band 3, and 6.97 (range 4.35-15.57) for Band 4 providing evidence toward ruling in sepsis at high SeptiScores. Conversely, the median LR- was 0.16 (range 0.14-0.20) for Band 2 and 0.085 (range 0.014-0.16) for Band 1, providing evidence toward ruling out sepsis at low SeptiScores. A higher-resolution analysis of SeptiCyte RAPID performance confirmed these trends by evaluating LR+ and LR- at specific values within each band. The sepsis group was further stratified according to whether patients were classified as blood-culture positive (BC+) or blood culture negative (BC-), and the detailed LR+ and LR- analyses were repeated. A monotonic increase in likelihood ratio with increasing SeptiScore was consistently observed, independent of whether sepsis patients were culture-positive, culture-negative, or unstratified with respect to blood culture status. Conclusion: High SeptiScores have correspondingly high LR+ values, and low SeptiScores have correspondingly low LR- values, both of which may have clinical utility. High likelihood ratios for band 4 SeptiScores, which precede traditional microbiology results, may provide clinicians with early confidence of a sepsis diagnosis and microbiology diagnostic stewardship. Low likelihood ratios for band 1 SeptiScores may prompt clinicians to consider an alternate diagnosis to sepsis. Such results, obtained early in the diagnostic workup process, may lead to fewer missed diagnoses and more efficient use of hospital resources.

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Sequential application of time-stratified demographic, vital, clinical-laboratory and microbiology variables for accurate and rapid identification of sepsis

Navalkar, K. A.; Garnacho-Montero, J.; Canton-Bulnes, M. L.; Garcia-Garmendia, J. L.; Estella, A.; Fernandez-Galilea, A.; Blanco, I.; Estecha-Foncea, M. A.; Gordillo-Resina, M.; Rodriguez-Gomez, J.; Pineda-Capitan, J. J.; Martinez-Fernandez, C.; Escoresca-Ortega, A.; Amaya-Villar, R.; Mora-Ordonez, J.; Gonzalez-Soto, S.; Gutierrez-Pizarraya, A.; Balk, R.; Miller, R. R.; Burke, J. P.; Patel, G.; Parada, J. P.; Schultz, M. J.; Scicluna, B. P.; Blodget, E.; Kumar, S.; Sampson, D.; Yager, T. D.; Davis, R. F.; Cermelli, S.; Brandon, R. B.

2026-05-29 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354135 medRxiv
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Background: Accurate early identification of sepsis remains a major clinical challenge due to its heterogeneous presentation and overlap of clinical signs with the non-infectious systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS). Timely differentiation is crucial for improving patient outcomes, meeting sepsis bundle requirements and reducing inappropriate antimicrobial use. We hypothesized that clinical and laboratory data available within the first 3 hours of patient presentation could be used to identify patients with sepsis to an actionable level of accuracy, in lieu of traditional microbiology results which would not become available until at least 12-24 hours. Data from two independent studies were used to quantify the diagnostic value of demographic, vital, clinical-laboratory, and microbiological data available at three time points for distinguishing retrospectively diagnosed critically ill patients with either sepsis or non-infectious SIRS. A particular focus of this work was an assessment of the utility of SeptiCyte RAPID (Immunexpress Inc., Seattle, Washington, USA) as an aid to sepsis diagnosis, producing actionable data within 1 hour. Methods: Data from two independent study cohorts were analysed. The 510k cohort consisted of 419 adult patients in intensive care (ICU) (MARS, VENUS, and NEPTUNE trials). The Andalusian cohort consisted of 353 ICU patients from the PANGEA study. Logistic regression models, selected by a greedy search algorithm and validated by repeated cross-validation, were used to determine the contributions of different variables to diagnostic accuracy. Diagnostic performance was quantified by area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results: For the 510k cohort, a baseline AUC of 0.69-0.73 was observed using 5-7 vital and demographic variables assessed immediately upon presentation (time T1). The addition of clinical-laboratory variables, in particular SeptiCyte RAPID, within 1-3 hours post-presentation (time T2) increased the AUC to 0.83-0.85). Finally, the addition of microbiological data 12-24 hours post-presentation (time T3) further improved the AUC to 0.90-0.91. Similar results were obtained for the Andalusian cohort. AUC values at the three time points were as follows: At time T1, AUC = 0.67 based solely on vital signs and demographics; at time T2, AUC = 0.87 based on vitals + demographics + SeptiCyte RAPID or other clinical laboratory data; at time T3, AUC = 0.93 based on vitals + demographics + SeptiCyte RAPID or other clinical laboratory data + microbiology results). For both cohorts, the most significant variables included temperature, mean arterial pressure, respiratory rate, suspected infection site; SeptiCyte RAPID, procalcitonin, confirmed bacterial infection and positive blood culture confirmation. Conclusions: Accuracy of identification of sepsis increases markedly as demographics and vital signs are supplemented with clinical-laboratory information, and ultimately with microbiological culture results. The fastest improvement occurs within the first 3 hours when laboratory data, and in particular SeptiCyte RAPID results, become available. Integrating rapid host-response testing with SeptiCyte RAPID into time-based diagnostic frameworks may enhance early sepsis recognition, improve antimicrobial stewardship, and support guideline-driven clinical decisions.

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Breath volatile profiling reveals a diagnostic signature of MASLD in children

Berna, A. Z.; Panganiban, J.; Liu, Y.; Logan, J.; Russo, P.; Aryal, A.; Hafertepe, K.; Abu-Alreesh, S.; DeBosch, B.; Stoll, J.; John, A. R. O.

2026-05-27 gastroenterology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353794 medRxiv
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Background & Aims: Metabolic Dysfunction Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD) is the leading cause of chronic liver disease in children. However, accurate, noninvasive diagnostic tools remain limited. Current screening methods are invasive or lack sensitivity. Breath-based volatile organic compound (VOC) analysis offers a simple approach with potential for point of care screening. This study aimed to identify and validate breath VOC signatures of pediatric MASLD. Approach & Results: We conducted a prospective IRB approved cohort study at the Childrens Hospital of Philadelphia (CHOP). Children aged between 7 and 20 years with MASLD (n=22), as defined by hepatic steatosis either by liver biopsy or imaging and 1 cardiometabolic risk factor, and a control group without MASLD (n=20) were enrolled. Breath samples were collected using a standardized protocol and analyzed by untargeted comprehensive two-dimensional gas chromatography-mass spectrometry (GCGCMS). Machine learning and unsupervised clustering were applied to identify discriminatory VOCs and assess heterogeneity. Untargeted GCGCMS analysis identified a distinct breath VOC signature in children with MASLD compared with non MASLD controls. A Random Forest model achieved a sensitivity of 73% and specificity of 65%, with AUC of 0.84. The VOC 2,4-dimethyl-1-heptene demonstrated strong diagnostic performance in the discovery cohort with a sensitivity of 85%, specificity of 77% and an AUC of 0.81. Unsupervised clustering revealed four MASLD subgroups with distinct volatile phenotypes associated with differences in liver enzymes and metabolic parameters. External validation in a second pediatric cohort confirmed reproducible reductions in o/p-xylene in subjects with MASLD. Conclusions: Pediatric MASLD is associated with a reproducible breath VOC signature identified by untargeted GCGCMS. These findings support breath analysis as a scalable, noninvasive screening and stratification tool for pediatric MASLD and warrant validation in larger, longitudinal studies.

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Dried blood spot proteomics as a diagnostic framework for citrin deficiency

Totsune, E.; Nakajima, D.; Konno, R.; Mikami-Saito, Y.; Arai-Ichinoi, N.; Nishida, H.; Yagi, H.; Ishige, T.; Suzuki, H.; Shirota, M.; Takayama, J.; Takano-Asai, C.; Shimura, M.; Sasai, H.; Lee, T.; Kido, J.; Nakajima, Y.; Kobayashi, H.; Kikuchi, A.; Numakura, C.; Hamazaki, T.; Oishi, K.; Nakamura, K.; Kawashima, Y.; Ohara, O.; Wada, Y.

2026-05-28 genetic and genomic medicine 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354012 medRxiv
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Background: Citrin deficiency, caused by biallelic pathogenic variants in SLC25A13, must be identified early to prevent serious complications such as hyperammonemia and liver failure. However, clinical diagnosis is often delayed due to its nonspecific presentation and limited sensitivity of amino acid-based newborn screening methods. Although genome-based evaluations are being investigated to address these issues, concerns about their cost, turnaround time, variant interpretation ability, and data handling highlight the need for a more practical yet reliable alternative. We investigated the feasibility of applying proteomic approach on dried blood spots (DBS), which are routinely used in newborn screening. Methods: We performed untargeted liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry to analyze the proteome of DBS using a previously developed "non-targeted analysis of non-specifically DBS-absorbed proteins" (NANDA) workflow. SLC25A13 protein abundance was quantified in individuals with biallelic loss-of-function mutations, compound loss-of-function/missense mutations, and heterozygous carriers; this was also evaluated in healthy and diseased controls representing relevant differential diagnoses. To leverage proteomic information, we derived a multivariate proteomic signature using feature selection and evaluated its performance with leave-one-out cross-validation. Biological relevance was assessed by enrichment analysis, and complementary transcriptomics was performed using RNA sequencing. Results: A total of 7,474 proteins, including SLC25A13, were consistently detected in DBS. SLC25A13 was undetectable in individuals with biallelic loss-of-function mutations. However, individuals with compound loss-of-function/missense genotypes showed reduced but measurable SLC25A13 levels, comparable to those observed in heterozygous carriers. In contrast, a compact 15-protein signature accurately identified individuals with compound loss-of-function/missense genotypes (AUC, 0.99; sensitivity, 1.00; specificity, 0.95). The signature was enriched for Ca2+-response, and transcriptomics showed downregulation of genes related to multimodal ion channels in affected individuals compared to controls. Conclusions: DBS-based proteomic profiling may assist in the diagnosis of citrin deficiency through SLC25A13-quantification and a biologically plausible multivariate signature. More broadly, this strategy offers a promising new diagnostic layer for protein disorders, providing a proteomic readout in a clinically practical DBS format with potential utility for future diagnostic and screening applications.

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Dentine markers of pre/early postnatal lead exposure links with brain, cognitive, and behavioral outcomes in adolescents

Marshall, A. T.; Kan, E.; Adise, S.; König, M.; McConnell, R.; Martinez, M.; Midya, V.; Arora, M.; Sowell, E. R.

2026-05-27 pediatrics 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354134 medRxiv
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Lead is a toxic metal ubiquitous in our environment. While dramatic reductions in lead sources have paralleled equivalent decreases in lead-poisoning rates, chronic lead exposure remains a critical public health concern. Childhood lead exposure (at its lowest levels) is liked to changes in cognitive development but less is known about lead's effects on children's brain structure, especially as a result of in utero exposure. We measured prenatal and early-postnatal lead exposure in shed deciduous teeth of 448 9- and 10-year-old children (from 20 United States cities) and linked those lead levels to childhood brain structure, cognition/behavior, and neighborhood- and family-level socioeconomic characteristics. Here we show negative associations between tooth-lead levels and the thickness of the brain's cortex, particularly in regions linked to language processing. With increasing tooth-lead levels, children of lower-income (versus higher-income) families showed steeper declines in receptive vocabulary. Caregiver-reported behavioral problems exhibited similar associations. With in utero exposure linked to adverse neurodevelopmental outcomes (well before lead exposure and its risks are evaluated by healthcare professionals), prenatal screening of maternal lead levels/exposure, coupled with recommended strategies to reduce its placental transmission, may help reduce lead's effects on future generations.

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Sleep Disorders Modify the Age-Related Trajectory of Circadian Rest-Activity Rhythms: Evidence from NHANES 2011--2012 Wrist Actigraphy

Yin, L.; Lee, C. W.; Wong, A.

2026-06-01 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.28.26354369 medRxiv
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Background: Circadian rest-activity rhythms weaken with age, but whether sleep disorders modify this trajectory is unknown. Methods: We analyzed wrist accelerometry data from 4,386 participants aged 6-80 years in the 2011-2012 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Circadian features were extracted using cosinor analysis and nonparametric methods; a Circadian Disruption Index (CDI) was constructed from five standardized components. Survey-weighted regression with natural cubic splines and Wald F-tests tested age-by-sleep-disorder interactions using Taylor series linearization for variance estimation. Results: Doctor-diagnosed sleep disorder (N = 360, 8.2%) was associated with significantly different age-related trajectories of amplitude (F(2,17) = 11.24, p = 0.0008) and MESOR (F(2,17) = 8.22, p = 0.0032), both surviving Bonferroni correction (p < 0.006). CDI was higher in those with a sleep disorder (0.290 vs. 0.131, p < 0.001) and was independently associated with higher BMI (beta = 1.33 kg/m2, p < 0.001), higher HbA1c (beta = 0.089%, p = 0.004), greater diabetes prevalence (beta = 3.8 percentage points, p < 0.001), and worse depressive symptoms (beta = 0.43 PHQ-9 points, p = 0.020). Sensitivity analyses using a broader sleep problem exposure did not replicate these interactions. Conclusions: Doctor-diagnosed sleep disorders are associated with an altered age-related decline in circadian amplitude and mean activity level. CDI was independently linked to cardiometabolic and depressive outcomes, supporting a mechanistic connection between clinically significant sleep pathology and circadian disruption across the lifespan.

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Acute effect of high-intensity interval training on fetal blood flow distribution

Skarstad, H. M. S.; Skrede, S.; La Haganes, K.; Ashby, E. R.; Sujan, M. A. J.; Deibele, K. U.; Morch, H.; Haugen, G. N.; Salvesen, K. A.; Moholdt, T.

2026-05-28 sports medicine 10.64898/2026.05.27.26354197 medRxiv
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Objectives To examine the acute effects of a single bout of high-intensity interval training (HIIT) on fetal blood flow distribution during the third trimester of pregnancy. Methods Thirty-four healthy pregnant participants (mean age 31.6 years, standard deviation (SD) 4.1; gestational week 33.8 (SD 0.4) completed eight 30-second high-intensity cycling work-bouts interspersed with 2-minute rest periods. Fetal heart rate (FHR), maternal blood pressure, and Doppler-derived blood flow indices in the middle cerebral artery, umbilical artery and vein, and ductus venosus were assessed before and after exercise. We estimated fetal liver blood flow and the ratio of umbilical vein flow to ductus venosus. Maternal heart rate (HR) and FHR were recorded throughout exercise. Paired t-tests compared pre- and post-exercise values. Results No significant changes were observed in fetal blood flow indices or distribution following exercise. Average maternal HR and FHR during the work-bouts were 158 bpm (SD 16) and 152 bpm (SD 12), respectively. Following HIIT, maternal systolic blood pressure increased by 5 mmHg (95% CI 1 to 8, p=.014), maternal HR by 22 bpm (95% CI 15 to 28, p<.001), and FHR by 13 bpm (95% CI 10 to 17, p<.001). We recorded 16 instances of FHR above normal range during HIIT. Conclusion A single HIIT session in late pregnancy increased maternal blood pressure and HR and transiently elevated FHR but did not affect fetal blood flow indices or distribution. Brief episodes of fetal tachycardia were observed but appeared to be clinically insignificant. Future research should investigate the effects of repeated HIIT exposure during pregnancy.

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Distinguishing Age-specific Patterns in Comorbidities of Obstructive Sleep Apnea Using Real-World Data

Goodman, M. O.; Alex, R. M.; Sands, S. A.; Azarbarzin, A.; Batool-anwar, S.; Pavlova, M. K.; Epstein, L. J.; Redline, S.; Cade, B. E.

2026-05-28 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.05.20.26352336 medRxiv
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Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is associated with a wide range of comorbidities, but the extent to which these follow predictable, age-dependent patterns is not well understood. Identifying such patterns could provide insight into OSA heterogeneity and its links to physiological measures of OSA. We trained age-dependent topic models (ATM) on longitudinal electronic health records from 36,426 patients with OSA in the Mass General Brigham Biobank. ATM organizes incident diagnoses into distinct comorbidity "topics," whose age-specific disease loadings represent predictive patterns linking related diagnoses across the life course. We applied the trained model to compute individual-level topic scores in independent data: a cohort of 11,689 OSA cases and 22,695 matched controls, and a cohort of 6,220 patients with polysomnography (PSG)-derived physiological measures. We identified 19 distinct age-dependent comorbidity profiles, all significantly associated with OSA case status (FDR-adjusted p<0.05). Topics reflected recognizable clusters including metabolic, neuropsychiatric, and immune-mediated conditions, and several were distinguished by age-of-onset of key comorbidities, such as early- vs late-onset asthma. Seventeen of the 19 topics were significantly associated with at least one of 13 PSG-derived physiological measures, including associations between cardiometabolic topics and the apnea-hypopnea index, sleep apnea specific hypoxic burden, and respiratory event-specific heart rate burden. These findings indicate that age-dependent comorbidity patterns distinguish meaningful OSA subtypes with differing prognoses and endophenotype associations. ATM offers insight into complex OSA comorbidity and suggests that age-informed, topic-based stratification may improve individualized risk assessment, interpretation of PSG findings, and targeting of clinical interventions.

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Cleaner Air for Lower Cardiometabolic Risk: protocol for a double-blind, randomized, sham-controlled trial of HEPA filtration in adults with prediabetes.

Wittkopp, S.; Asachi, P.; Kazatsker, F.; Aleman, J. O.; Gordon, T.; Brook, R.; Thorpe, L.; Newman, J. D.

2026-06-01 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.05.29.26354420 medRxiv
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Introduction Air pollution is a leading driver of cardiovascular disease with a growing body of literature implicating this in worse glucose homeostasis. Increases in fine particulate matter air pollution (PM2.5) are associated with increased blood glucose and hemoglobin A1c across the glycemic spectrum from normoglycemia to prediabetes to all forms of diabetes. Despite strong evidence for positive associations of PM2.5 with dysglycemia, it remains unknown if reducing air pollution exposure through air filtration can effect improvements in glucose. This study aims to test the hypothesis that short-term, in-home air pollution reduction using high efficiency particulate air (HEPA) filtration will improve blood sugar in adults with prediabetes. Methods and analysis This trial is a randomized, double-blind, sham-controlled trial of the effects of lowering air pollution exposure using HEPA filtration on cardiometabolic health in adults with prediabetes living in the New York City area. Participants will be randomly assigned to use bedroom air cleaners, or sham air cleaners, while measuring PM2.5 continuously for 1 month. The primary outcomes will be continuous glucose monitoring metrics measured before and after HEPA air filtration. Exploratory outcomes will include insulin resistance measures, serum biomarkers and transcriptomics measured before and after HEPA intervention. We will quantify effects of HEPA filtration with models using treatment arm (true versus sham filtration) as the independent variable. Secondary analyses will model continuous measures of PM2.5 as the independent variable. Ethics and Dissemination This study has undergone peer review; and the work was supported by Grant 2023-0214 from the Doris Duke Foundation, who had no other role in study design or implementation. The study was registered in ClinicalTrials.gov (NCT05994937) prior to recruitment. Clinical Trials Clinical Trials NCT05994937; https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT05994937

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Domain-based basal and ambulatory glycemic exposure metrics derived from continuous glucose monitoring: a real-world clinic-based study

Shinde, S. N.; Shinde, R. S.; Bhangaaley, S. Y.

2026-05-26 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.05.24.26353983 medRxiv
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Background: Consensus continuous glucose monitoring (CGM) metrics, including time in range (TIR), time above range (TAR), time below range (TBR), mean glucose, glucose management indicator, and glycemic variability, are essential for modern glucose assessment. However, these whole-day summaries do not explicitly partition nocturnal basal from daytime ambulatory glycemic burden. Objective: To develop and evaluate a complementary domain-based CGM framework that quantifies basal and daytime ambulatory glycemic exposure across oral glucose tolerance test (OGTT)-derived dysglycemia phenotypes. Methods: In this observational, clinic-based study, 253 individuals underwent OGTT with insulin measurement and CGM. Participants were classified using a prespecified OGTT-derived phenotyping algorithm, implemented through a deterministic rules-based web calculator, and collapsed into five groups: NoDM, Increased insulin resistance, Midzone Glycemia, Prediabetes, and Diabetes. CGM files were uniformly reprocessed by selecting the latest contiguous episode and retaining the most recent 15 calendar days with data. The 24-hour profile was partitioned into nocturnal basal (00:00 to <06:00) and daytime ambulatory (06:00 to <24:00) domains. Derived indices included Area of Basal Glycemia (ABG), Area of Prandial/Daytime Ambulatory Glycemia (APG), incremental ABG (iABG), incremental APG (iAPG), and exploratory deficit indices dABG and dAPG. Results: The final dataset contributed 3,647 analyzable CGM days. APG remained higher than ABG across all groups. Mean ABG/APG increased from 80.45/86.38 mg/dL in NoDM to 111.96/124.70 mg/dL in Diabetes. Mean iABG/iAPG increased from 5.65/6.60 to 34.12/38.91 mg/dL, whereas dABG/dAPG declined as dysglycemia worsened. Conclusions: The ABG/APG framework provides interpretable, domain-resolved CGM burden metrics that separate basal from daytime ambulatory exposure and distinguish total burden from above-threshold excess. These indices are proposed as adjunctive metrics to support dysglycemia phenotyping, early risk recognition, and treatment monitoring, but are not intended to replace established consensus CGM metrics or diagnostic criteria. External, prospective validation is required.

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Development and validation of a dynamic risk stratification tool for predicting multidrug-resistant bacterial infections in ICU patients: A clinical prediction model and web-based calculator

Ye, L.; Lyu, B.; Yang, Q.; Mou, X.; Nawawonganun, R.; Laohasiriwong, W.

2026-05-26 intensive care and critical care medicine 10.64898/2026.05.23.26353927 medRxiv
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Background: Multi-drug resistant Bacterial (MDRB) Infections in the intensive care units (ICUs) substantially elevate patient mortality, prolong hospital stays, and impose heavy healthcare cost burdens. Existing predictive models for ICU-acquired MDRB infection predominantly focus on static admission-risk assessment, lacking the capacity to leverage longitudinal treatment data for dynamic risk re-stratification during the ICU stay. Meanwhile, most models suffer from poor clinical interpretability, overreliance on hard-to-collect biomarkers, or absence of deployable clinical tools, limiting real-world translation. Therefore, there is an urgent need to develop a parsimonious, interpretable tool based on routine cumulative data to guide timely intervention. This study aimed to develop a interpretable model with a web calculator to improve clinical applicability. Methods: In this study, we conducted a retrospective analysis of ICU inpatients at the First Affiliated Hospital of Dali University between January 1, 2023, and January 1, 2026. Using the create Data Partition function in R software (random seed = 42), the dataset was stratified and divided into a training group and a validation group in a 7:3 ratio. Feature selection was performed using the Boruta algorithm to validate variable rationality. A multivariable logistic regression model was constructed and visualized as a nomogram, and its performance was compared with six machine learning algorithms (Random Forest, XG Boost, Neural Network, etc.). Model validation was conducted using receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC), Decision Curve Analysis (DCA), and SHAP value interpretation. Finally, an online R Shiny calculator was developed based on the final model. Results: A total of 3,631 patients were enrolled and divided into a training group (n=2,543) and a validation group (n=1,088) using stratified random sampling. Five independent predictors were identified in the training group, which were hypertension combined with diabetes, antibiotic types, ventilator days, urinary catheter days, and PCT abnormality times. The Logistic regression model achieved an AUC of 0.772 (95%CI: 0.733-0.812) in the validation group, outperforming XG Boost (0.763) and Random Forest (0.703). The model demonstrated excellent calibration (Hosmer-Leme show {chi}{superscript 2} = 1.94, P = 0.9829) and positive net clinical benefit across threshold probabilities of 0%-40%. SHAP analysis aligned with regression-derived variable importance rankings, confirming predictor contributions. An open-access online calculator was successfully deployed (https://dongfangshao666.shinyapps.io/MDR_shiny2/), enabling real-time individualized risk stratification at the bedside. Conclusion: This study developed and validated a dynamic, interpretable multi-drug-resistant bacterial infection risk prediction model requiring only five routinely collected clinical indicators. The model balances robust predictive performance with high transparency, overcoming key limitations of prior tools. The accompanying web calculator supports dynamic risk reassessment throughout the ICU stay, facilitating precise antimicrobial stewardship, targeted infection control interventions, and optimized resource allocation, bridging the gap between statistical modeling and frontline clinical decision-making.

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An ECG foundation model for generalizable cardiac function prediction across the lifespan

Yang, Y.; Peracchio, L.; Mayourian, J.; Miller, T.; La Cava, W.

2026-05-27 health informatics 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354128 medRxiv
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Background Artificial intelligence-enhanced electrocardiography (AI-ECG) enables scalable, low-cost cardiac dysfunction screening, but existing models are annotation-intensive and predominantly adult-derived, leaving paediatric generalizability uncertain. Paediatric cohorts exhibit highly variable cardiac morphology and function compared to adults, which may be useful for learning generalizable AI-ECG models. Methods We pretrained ECG-Fyler on a predominantly paediatric, all-age cohort at Boston Children's Hospital (1992-2023), annotated with a cardiology-specific coding system (Fyler codes), and evaluated it on assessments from echocardiography (echo) and cardiac magnetic resonance (CMR) studies. We validated on an external adult cohort from Columbia University Irving Medical Center. Performance was benchmarked against several AI-ECG foundation models by AUROC across age groups, lesion types, and limited-data scenarios. Findings The pretraining cohort comprised 782,138 ECGs from 255,271 patients (median age: 10.9 years, IQR: [2.8-16.8]). Internal evaluation included 178,495 ECG-echo pairs (median age: 10.9 [3.7-17.0]) and 8,584 ECG-CMR pairs (median age: 20.7 [15.6-29.6]). External validation included 82,543 ECG-echo pairs from adults (median age: 64.0 [52.0-74.0]). ECG-Fyler improved AUROC across biventricular dysfunction and dilation tasks, with the largest gains in low-data settings. In internal validation, ECG-Fyler detected low left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF [&le;] 40%) from only 100 fine-tuning samples (AUROC: 0.80, 95% CI: [0.78-0.80]), outperforming other models (AUROC < 0.65) and improving with additional fine-tuning (AUROC: 0.94 [0.93-0.94]). Similar improvements were observed for CMR-derived LVEF, RVEF, and ventricular dilation. In external validation on adults, ECG-Fyler exhibited an AUROC of 0.83 (CI: [0.82-0.85]) for LVEF [&le;] 40%. After fine-tuning on less than 10% of external data, LVEF [&le;] 45% performance (AUROC: 0.87 [0.86-0.88]) outperformed a fully trained, site-specific prior model (AUROC: 0.85 [0.84-0.87]). Interpretation Pretraining on richly annotated, paediatric-dominant ECGs yields models that transfer efficiently across institutions and ages, supporting AI-ECG screening and triage when labels or imaging access are limited. Funding National Institutes of Health (R01LM012973); Kostin Innovation Fund, Boston Children's Hospital

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Morphological feature remodeling of intracranial arteries in the context of inflammation and HIV-associated cognitive impairment

Hoang, N.; Yang, H.; Uddin, M. N.; Zhong, J.; Faiyaz, A.; Singh, M. V.; Boodoo, Z. D.; Sutton, K. R.; Wang, H. Z.; Sahin, B.; Khan, M. W.; Weber, M. T.; Yuan, C.; Chen, L.; Schifitto, G.

2026-05-27 hiv aids 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353071 medRxiv
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Background: Despite the success of combination antiretroviral therapy (cART), vascular comorbidities, including cerebrovascular disease, are more prominent in people living with HIV (PLWH) compared to people without HIV (PWOH). However, quantitative assessments of cerebrovascular morphometry and their associations with cognitive outcomes in the context of HIV are still limited. In this study, we explore this missing link. Methods: Magnetic Resonance Angiography (MRA) data, blood markers, and neurocognitive assessments were collected from 73 PWOH subjects (male: 57, female: 16; age: 53 {+/-} 16) and 99 PLWH subjects (male: 66, female: 30, age: 53 {+/-} 11). Vessel morphometric features were quantified using intraCranial Artery Feature Extraction (iCafe) to investigate associations between vessel morphometry, markers of monocytes, endothelial cell activation, and cognitive performance. Results: HIV status predicted a lower total number of branches ({beta} = -0.224, p = 0.001, d = -0.517) and shorter total distal length ({beta} = -0.173, p = 0.021, d = -0.370) with a moderate effect size. Total branch number was found to be negatively associated with plasma levels of monocyte markers (sCD14: r = -0.167, p = 0.033; sCD163: r = -0.157, p = 0.045) and positively correlated with white matter cerebral blood flow (r = 0.550; p [&le;] 0.05). HIV status was the strongest predictor of overall cognitive performance in ANCOVA model ({beta} = -0.219, p = 0.006, d = -0.453). Conclusions: Our results suggest that cognitive impairment in PLWH is associated with vessel morphology metrics. Monocyte immune activation may contribute to changes in vessel morphology.

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Vaginal Antisepsis for Major Gynecologic Surgeries Using Chlorhexidine Gluconate versus Povidone Iodine: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Dias, Y.; Gebrekidan, F.; Lowder, J.; Sutcliffe, S.; Yaeger, L.

2026-05-27 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353429 medRxiv
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ABSTRACT OBJECTIVE: We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis (SRMA) of post-surgical outcomes, comparing chlorhexidine gluconate (CHG) versus povidone iodine (PI) for vaginal antisepsis of major gynecologic procedures. DATA SOURCES: Ovid Medline, Embase, Scopus, Embase, Cochrane, and Clinicaltrials.gov were searched between 1986 and December 2023, for studies comparing CHG with PI for vaginal antisepsis of major gynecologic operations. STUDY ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA: We included Randomized Controlled Trials (RCTs) and non-RCTs comparing CHG to PI for vaginal antisepsis of major gynecologic operations. The primary outcome was surgical site infections (SSIs) and the secondary outcome was urinary tract infections (UTIs) and vaginal irritation. METHODS: Summary estimates were calculated by fixed effects models when I2 [&le;] 25% and by random effects models when I2 > 25%. Statistical analysis was performed using RevMan 5.4.1. The protocol for this systematic review was registered on PROSPERO (ID CRD42022378101). RESULTS: Nine studies met the inclusion criteria, four of which were randomized controlled trials (RCTs). 9538 patients were included, 4300 (45%) of whom were allocated to CHG and 5238 (55%) to PI. No statistically significant difference in SSI incidence was found for vaginal antisepsis with CHG versus PI in pooled analyses (n= 9538 patients; RR 1.20; 95% CI 0.92-1.57; I2 =0%). In contrast, a significantly higher risk of UTIs was observed for vaginal antisepsis with CHG than with PI (n=6061 patients; RR 1.48 95% CI 1.03-2.14; I2 = 0%). CONCLUSION: In our SRMA, there were no significant differences in SSI risk when either CHG or PI was utilized for antiseptic vaginal preparation. Interestingly, vaginal antisepsis with PI was associated with a lower incidence of post-operative UTIs following major gynecologic surgery. Our findings support current guidelines that form of vaginal antisepsis can be used for SSI prevention. They also suggest that PI may result in fewer postoperative UTIs but further randomized studies are needed to support these findings. Key words: surgical site infection, surgical wound infection, urinary tract infection, urogynecologic surgery, Chlorhexidine, Povidone Iodine, surgical antiseptic,

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Patient Versus Prediction-Level Evaluation of a Dynamic Clinical Prediction Model of Sepsis

Tuttle, M.; Maas, C. C. H. M.; An, J.; Wessler, B. S.; Harvey, W. F.; Selker, H. P.; van Klaveren, D.; Kent, D. M.

2026-05-27 health systems and quality improvement 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354141 medRxiv
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The Epic Sepsis Model version 2 (ESMv2) is a prediction model embedded into the electronic medical record used to warn clinicians which hospitalized patients are at risk for sepsis. We conducted a retrospective cohort study of 31,951 hospitalizations of 25,760 patients to compare analyses conducted at the commonly used patient-level (where a maximum prediction prior to the onset of sepsis is used to measure performance) vs novel prediction-level (where each prediction is used to measure performance). Sepsis, defined by the Sepsis 3 criteria occurred during 1,049 hospitalizations (3.3%). Patient-level analyses suggested excellent discrimination AUC 0.86; [IQR 0.85, 0.87], whereas prediction-level analyses demonstrated lower performance AUC 0.62; [IQR 0.57, 0.65]. Low estimates of the positive predictive value (14.5% at the patient level vs 4% at the prediction level) imply a high number of false alerts. Common evaluation approaches may overstate the performance of dynamic prediction models and mislead clinical decision-making.

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Hierarchical organ aging signatures from routine abdominal CT add incremental disease risk stratification beyond blood biomarkers

Deng, Z.; Wang, Y.; Shi, Y.; Wang, L.; Qureshi, T. A.; Gaddam, S.; Javed, S.; Hsu, Y.-C.; De Righi, D. R.; Azab, L.; Diwan, G.; Yang, J. D.; Xie, Y.; Yuan, C.; Vendrami, C. L.; Rodriguez, A.; Specht, K.; Jeon, C. Y.; Chaudhry, H.; Buxbaum, J.; Pisegna, J. R.; Yaghmai, V.; Goessling, W.; Hernandez-Barco, Y. G.; Miller, F. H.; Tirkes, T.; Espinoza, S.; Musi, N.; Dey, D.; Sung, K. H.; Pandol, S. J.; Li, D.

2026-05-27 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.05.19.26353206 medRxiv
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Biological aging is heterogeneous across organ systems, yet whether CT-derived abdominal aging provides prognostic value beyond routine clinical data and whether organ decomposition adds beyond a unified estimate remains untested. We developed and evaluated organ-specific and ensemble biological age models from radiomic features across five abdominal organs in 68,675 CT scans from 32,883 subjects, evaluated on alignment with chronological age of healthy subjects (nested cross validation: MAE=3.68 years, R^2=0.90). In sequential analyses restricted to adults aged 20-60 years which is the stratum of strongest BAG-disease association, ensemble biological age gaps provided incremental prognostic value beyond demographic covariates for all-cause disease and mortality (Delta C-index=0.141, 0.051) and beyond routine blood biomarkers (Delta C-index=0.048), confirming CT-derived aging captures structural information beyond laboratory markers. Organ-specific biological age added incremental prognostic value beyond ensemble selectively for focal diseases: cardiovascular (aorta, Delta C-index=0.091) and hepato-pancreatic (pancreas, Delta C-index=0.096). These findings establish a hierarchical organization of CT-derived biological aging, positioning routine CT as a source that adds prognostic value to existing clinical biomarkers.

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Can Large Language Models Diagnose Primary Immunodeficiency from Patient-Described Symptoms?

Reteig, L. C.; Woloshin, S.; Maglione, P. J.; Farmer, J. R.; Ong, M.-S.

2026-05-27 allergy and immunology 10.64898/2026.05.26.26353818 medRxiv
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Patients with primary immunodeficiency (PID) often face prolonged diagnostic delays and may increasingly turn to large language models (LLMs) to interpret their symptoms during this period. We evaluated whether an LLM could recognize PID from symptom descriptions derived from interviews with 21 PID patients. In a prior study, we showed that GPT-4o identified PID in 96% of cases when prompted with physician-written patient histories (Rider et al., JACI, 2024). Here, when prompted with symptom descriptions in patients' own words, GPT-5 identified PID in only 7 cases (33%), although it more broadly suggested immune system issues in 18 cases (81%). The gap between these findings indicates that LLMs are sensitive to the language and framing of symptom descriptions, performing substantially worse when patients describe their own symptoms in everyday language than when clinicians summarize patient histories in structured medical terms. This study underscores the need to carefully evaluate how LLMs are used in patient-facing applications.

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ERBB4 deficiency promotes atrial myopathy underlying the atrial fibrillation substrate

Yamaguchi, N.; Santucci, J.; Hong, S. J.; Ferrena, A.; Schlamp, F.; Willett, D.; Casdin, C. J.; Park, P. S.; Lin, X.; Xiao, J.; Hall, S.; Barnard, J.; Achter, J.; Kanhert, K.; Lundby, A.; Chung, M. K.; Van Wagoner, D. R.; Park, D. S.

2026-05-27 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.05.26.26354173 medRxiv
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Background Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a leading cause of stroke, cardiovascular morbidity, and mortality. Atrial myopathy, characterized by progressive metabolic, electrical, and structural changes, creates the arrhythmogenic substrate that drives AF. Defining the key drivers of atrial myopathic processes is essential for targeted therapies that can mitigate AF progression. Here we explore how reduced ERBB4 expression contributes to the development of left atrial myopathy. Methods We analyzed the Cleveland Clinic Biobank to compare left atrial ERBB4 levels in patients grouped by AF diagnosis. To investigate the impact of reduced ERBB4 levels on atrial tissue substrate, we created mouse models of cardiac-specific Erbb4 deficiency using Mlc2a (myosin light chain 2a)-Cre. Comprehensive physiological assessments were performed. Transcriptomic analyses of the left atrium were performed in an Erbb4 haploinsufficient mouse model and compared with human atrial datasets. Molecular validation of key dysregulated pathways was performed. Results We found that left atrial ERBB4 levels are reduced in patients with AF. Adult cardiomyocyte-specific Erbb4 heterozygous (Erbb4fl/+;Mlc2a-Cre) mice exhibited prolonged P-wave duration in the absence of ventricular dysfunction. Left atrial transcriptomic analysis in Erbb4 haploinsufficient mice showed upregulation of pathways related to fibrosis, apoptosis, and coagulation, and downregulation of pathways related to fatty acid metabolism and mitochondrial function, mirroring changes observed in pressure overload mouse models. A cross-species transcriptomic comparison revealed significant overlap between ERBB4-correlated gene expression and functional pathways in adult human atria and mice with Erbb4 haploinsufficiency. Validating the transcriptomic data, protein and functional assays demonstrated increased fibrosis, apoptosis, and oxidative stress in the mutant left atrial tissue. Conclusion Left atrial ERBB4 levels are reduced in AF patients. A mouse model of Erbb4 deficiency and human atrial transcriptomic analyses highlight a role for ERBB4 in supporting normal atrial metabolism while protecting against inflammation, apoptosis, and fibrosis.